Showing posts with label Trading with Ichimoku Clouds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading with Ichimoku Clouds. Show all posts

Monday, 16 October 2017

Introduction of Ichimoku Components - Ichimoku Trading Analysis on Indian MCX Market

The Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system is made up of 5 components

1. Tenkan Sen
2. Kijun Sen
3. Chikou Span
4. Senkou A
5. Senkou B

TENKAN SEN

The first indicator I discuss is the Tenkan Sen. It represents the short term movement for price. The
formula for the Tenkan Sen is:

(Highest High + Lowest Low)
------------------------------------     for 9 Periods
                  2                           

Tenkan reflects short-term price movement better. In fact, you can use the Tenkan as a stop once you have entered a trade.

 Sentiment

• Bullish: If price is above the Tenkan Sen.
• Bearish: If price is below the Tenkan Sen.

The Tenkan Sen should be pointing in the same direction as the trend. The steeper the angle, the greater the trend.  Tenkan Sen is pointing upward with a steep angle, This is showing that the
instrument is in a strong bullish (upward) trend.

If the Tenkan Sen is flat then it indicates that price may consolidate in the short term. If you are in a trade that is open then you should proceed with caution because the short-term trend could reverse soon.

Tenkan Sen is a short term Support/Resistance value. When price crosses the Tenkan Sen it is a major accomplishment because it has broken a major short term Support/Resistance value.

During a trend, if price crosses the Tenkan Sen in in the opposite direction of the trend, it can indicate one of three different scenarios

1. Minor Short Term Pullback
2. Major Short-Term Pullback

3. Countertrend

1. Minor Short Term Pullback

A minor pullback is where price crosses over the Tenkan Sen but never crosses over the Kijun Sen. After it crosses the Tenkan Sen, price then continues on the original path of the trend . This normally happens when short-term traders take profit. The long-term traders continue to hold their current
positions .

2. Major Short-Term Pullback

A major pullback will have price crossing both the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen in the opposite direction of the trend. Once it has done that, price eventually continues on the original trend crossing back over both of them again.

In this scenario, long-term position traders are taking some profits. They are not closing out their entire position at all because they believe the instrument will continue the trend after the major pullback has finished.

3. Countertrend

The third scenario is similar to the second scenario. Where price crosses over both the Tenkan Sen and the Kijun Sen. The crossover takes place in the opposite direction of the trend. However, the major trend never resumes. Either the instrument enters a consolidation pattern (sideways) or a new trend forms.

In this scenario, the long-term traders are exiting their positions completely. They can do so over a certain time period or all at once in some cases.

The Tenkan Sen should be close to price. lf price and the Tenkan Sen are close to each other then the trend has been developing slowly without much interference from volatility. If price reverse from the Tenkan Sen then there is a high chance that price will pull back and try to go meet the Tenkan Sen because it was out of equilibrium too much. 

Thursday, 28 September 2017

How to Understand Ichimoku Break out Trade set up on MCX Crude on 28.09.17



27 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3426
Next Bar Open @ 3424
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3212

28 th Sep MCX Crude
Gap up Opening 10 Points, High @ 3472 Crude, and CrudeM @ 3490





Price drastically reversed above 100 Points


Wednesday, 27 September 2017

Understanding of Ichimoku Cloud Analysis Trading System on Indian MCX Crude

Long Entry Rules :

1    1.      Price and Chiku Should be above Clouds
2    2.      Price Should Close 2 different ways based on Kijun, (i.e) First below Kijun and Second above Kijun.

Short Entry Rules :

1    1.      Price and Chiku Should be below Clouds
2    2.      Price Should Close 2 different ways based on Kijun, (i.e) First above Kijun and Second below Kijun.


b    Below Ichimoku Cloud HTF (1 Hour) Chart represents the Price move on 15 th Sep Contract 2017, CrudeOil on MCX Market. 


Long  Entry – As Per Rules
  • Blue down arrow (Red Bar) highlights the Price Closed below Kijun, and Blue up arrow (Green Bar) represent the Price Closed above Kijun.
  • Price and Chiku, Both are above Cloud.
On Sep 15th Trading Session, based on rules long entry was triggered

Long @ 3206 Bar High or 3199 Next Bar Open
Stop Loss – Bar Low – 3174 around 30 Plus Points
Target – 1 : 3 RR

16 & 17 Weekly Holidays and 19th September Contract Closing Day.

On 15th Evening Session Flat Move both Side 15 Plus Points
On 18 th 5 Points range Gap up Opening and went upside around 20 Points move upto 3226 High.











18th Sep Contract Roll over into October Contract, So on Sep 18 th Evening Session Long Entry Triggered on October Contract

20 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3249
Next Bar Open @ 3247
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3227



20 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3249
Next Bar Open @ 3247
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3239





21 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3295
Next Bar Open @ 3288
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3269





22 th Sep High 3428
23 & 24 Weekly Holidays

26 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3292
Next Bar Open @ 3292
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3281


26 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3415
Next Bar Open @ 3405
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3387



26 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3415
Next Bar Open @ 3292
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3281


 27th Sep Crude Inventory Time Orderflow Move from 8 PM



27th Sep Crude Inventory Time Orderflow Move Upto 9 PM




27 th Sep  Long Entry

Long @ Bar High 3426
Next Bar Open @ 3424
Stop Loss - Bar Low - 3212